Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
Issued by NWS

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000
ACUS11 KWNS 031426
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 031426
SCZ000-GAZ000-031700-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1288
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0926 AM CDT FRI JUL 03 2015

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL AND ERN GA...SRN SC

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 031426Z - 031700Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...60 PERCENT

SUMMARY...AN ISOLATED WIND DAMAGE THREAT WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING
IN CNTRL GA AND SHOULD AFFECT ERN GA AND SRN SC LATER THIS MORNING.
HAIL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. WW ISSUANCE MAY BE NEEDED ACROSS THE
REGION.

DISCUSSION...THE LATEST SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS A VERY MOIST AIRMASS IN
PLACE ACROSS MUCH OF THE ERN GULF COAST REGION NEWD INTO THE
CAROLINAS WITH SFC DEWPOINTS MOSTLY IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S F. THIS
IS CONTRIBUTING TO MODERATE INSTABILITY ALREADY THIS MORNING ALONG
AN AXIS FROM SE AL NEWD INTO CNTRL AND ERN GA. A LINE OF
THUNDERSTORMS IS ONGOING IN NCNTRL GA ALONG THE NRN EDGE OF MODERATE
INSTABILITY WHERE WIND PROFILES ARE UNIDIRECTIONAL AND ENOUGH FLOW
IS PRESENT FOR STORM ORGANIZATION. THE ATLANTA WSR-88D VWP SHOWS
DEEP WLY FLOW WITH 35 TO 40 KT FROM JUST ABOVE THE SFC TO AROUND 4
KM. THIS WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR AN ISOLATED WIND DAMAGE THREAT ALONG
THE LEADING EDGE OF A COLD POOL CURRENTLY JUST SOUTHEAST OF THE
ATLANTA METRO. THIS LINE OF STORMS IS FORECAST TO MOVE EWD ACROSS
THE REMAINDER OF ERN GA INTO SRN SC OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. THE
WIND DAMAGE THREAT COULD INCREASE AS SFC TEMPS WARM AHEAD OF THE
LINE LATE THIS MORNING.

..BROYLES/MEAD.. 07/03/2015

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CHS...CAE...FFC...

LAT...LON   33878299 33168488 32728505 32258380 32078316 31848149
            32018070 32638004 33458020 33918200 33878299



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