Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
Issued by NWS

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000
ACUS11 KWNS 231402
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 231401
FLZ000-ALZ000-MSZ000-231500-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1940
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0801 AM CST SUN NOV 23 2014

AREAS AFFECTED...FAR SERN MS / FAR SWRN AL / FL PANHANDLE

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 231401Z - 231500Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT

SUMMARY...STORMS MAY INTENSIFY THIS MORNING.  CONVECTIVE TRENDS WILL
BE MONITORED THROUGH THE NEXT 1-2 HRS FOR A POSSIBLE WATCH.

DISCUSSION...SINGLE SITE RADAR IMAGERY HAS SHOWN SOME RECENT
INTENSIFICATION OF STORMS WITHIN A CONFLUENCE BAND OF STORMS OVER
THE NERN GULF/FL PANHANDLE REGION.  A FEW STORMS HAVE EXHIBITED WEAK
LOW-LEVEL ROTATION WITHIN THE STRONGLY SHEARED...WAA REGIME.
FARTHER W NEAR THE MOUTH OF THE MS RIVER...STORMS MAY INTENSIFY THIS
MORNING AS UPDRAFTS CONTINUE TO MOVE DOWNSTREAM ON THE LEADING EDGE
OF THE COLD POOL/S GUST FRONT.  THE AIRMASS NEAR THE MS/AL COASTS IS
MARGINALLY UNSTABLE AND DEWPOINTS HAVE RISEN TO AROUND 70 DEG F.  IF
CONVECTIVE TRENDS SHOW SUBSTANTIAL STORM INTENSIFICATION OVER THE
NEXT 1-2 HRS...THE POSSIBILITY FOR A WATCH WILL LIKEWISE INCREASE.

..SMITH/MEAD.. 11/23/2014

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...TAE...MOB...LIX...

LAT...LON   30368879 30968778 30778577 30068490 29698508 30318652
            30208803 30368879



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