Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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000
ACUS11 KWNS 282042
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 282042
TXZ000-NMZ000-282145-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0829
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0342 PM CDT THU MAY 28 2015

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN NM...MUCH OF SOUTHWEST/WEST TX

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 234...

VALID 282042Z - 282145Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 234 CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...ALL SVR HAZARDS REMAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS TORNADO WATCH 234.
PRIMARY THREAT SHOULD TRANSITION TO DMGG WIND GUSTS INTO THE EARLY
EVENING.

DISCUSSION...A BROKEN LINE OF TSTMS WITH EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS HAS SET
UP NEAR A REMNANT OUTFLOW BOUNDARY ORIENTED SW-NE ACROSS NW
TX...WITH SRN PORTION OF THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY RECENTLY BECOMING MORE
PROGRESSIVE. THE TORNADO THREAT IS LIKELY MAXIMIZED NEAR THE
QUASI-STATIONARY PORTION OF THE BOUNDARY ACROSS NW TX.
HOWEVER...GIVEN THE MARGINAL DEEP-LAYER SHEAR...LARGE HAIL IS LIKELY
TO REMAIN THE PRIMARY THREAT OVER THE NEXT COUPLE HRS.
EVENTUALLY...THE DMGG WIND THREAT IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE/BECOME
DOMINANT INTO THE EARLY EVENING AS TSTMS CONGEAL INTO A LIKELY MCS
ACROSS NORTHWEST AND WEST-CENTRAL TX.

..ROGERS.. 05/28/2015

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OUN...EWX...SJT...LUB...MAF...ABQ...

LAT...LON   34119891 33159907 31590008 30360068 30280070 29080067
            29750147 29740262 28930314 29440428 30610481 31820479
            32460477 32790474 33340463 34130319 34260042 34119891



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