Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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000
ACUS11 KWNS 141142
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 141141
MOZ000-OKZ000-KSZ000-141445-

Mesoscale Discussion 0042
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0541 AM CST Sat Jan 14 2017

Areas affected...far southwestern MO into northeastern OK and parts
of central OK

Concerning...Freezing rain

Valid 141141Z - 141445Z

SUMMARY...A corridor of heavier rates of freezing rain (0.05-0.20
inch per 3 hours) is forecast from 1145-1445 UTC from the I-35
corridor north of OKC northeastward towards the Joplin, MO area.

DISCUSSION...Radar mosaic during the early morning has shown an
increase in convective shower coverage across central OK
northeastward into northwestern AR and southwestern MO.  Surface
analysis places the freezing line over south-central OK
northeastward to near the OK/AR/MO tri-state region.  North of this
line, freezing rain will occur.  Sporadic occurrences of lightning
have been noted within the discussion area from near Stillwater
northeastward to the KS/MO/OK border region.  Given the weak
elevated buoyancy per 12 UTC area raobs, precipitation rates will
likely continue to be augmented for the next several hours as
convective showers and a few thunderstorms train east-northeastward
during the early morning.  Rates in the range of 0.05-0.20 inch per
3 hours are expected.

..Smith.. 01/14/2017

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...SGF...TSA...OUN...

LAT...LON   36039765 37129437 36969396 36269570 35649740 36039765



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