


Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
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696 ACUS11 KWNS 101941 SWOMCD SPC MCD 101941 NEZ000-KSZ000-102145- Mesoscale Discussion 1632 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0241 PM CDT Thu Jul 10 2025 Areas affected...much of western Kansas into south-central Nebraska Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 101941Z - 102145Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...Storms will develop across much of western Kansas and into south-central Nebraska, with damaging wind gusts likely. Isolated large hail may also occur. DISCUSSION...Satellite imagery shows towering CU developing with a surface trough/wind shift from the western OK across KS and into south-central NE. Temperatures within this zone are near 100 F, while dewpoints have only only mixed down into the mid to upper 50s F. Given the hot and deeply mixed boundary layer, strong wind gusts appear probable. Veering winds with height also suggest some cellular mode is possible as well, and isolated hail may occur with the strongest storms. However, northeastward propagating mixed-mode severe appears most likely. ..Jewell/Mosier.. 07/10/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...GID...LBF...DDC...GLD... LAT...LON 38060147 39230067 40340004 40979977 41329961 41489934 41559895 41379862 41079852 40349859 39689880 38899918 38159992 37420083 37200155 37240188 37460195 38060147 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN