


Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
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466 ACUS11 KWNS 091531 SWOMCD SPC MCD 091530 VAZ000-WVZ000-MDZ000-NCZ000-TNZ000-091700- Mesoscale Discussion 1612 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1030 AM CDT Wed Jul 09 2025 Areas affected...Portions of extreme northeast North Carolina into central and eastern West Virginia...western Virginia...and western Maryland Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 091530Z - 091700Z Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent SUMMARY...Storms should increase in coverage and intensity through early afternoon. Damaging gusts should be the main threat, though a few instances of severe hail are also possible. DISCUSSION...Thunderstorms have gradually intensified over the past couple of hours, with MRMS mosaic radar imagery showing 40 dBZ echoes already approaching 30 kft. Ahead of the storms, temperatures have already reached 80 F in spots, with 70 F dewpoints helping to boost MLCAPE to around 1000 J/kg amid rapidly eroding MLCINH. Furthermore, stronger mid-level southwesterly flow overspreading the region is contributing to straight hodographs and up to 35 kts of effective bulk shear. With continued boundary layer destabilization, multicells and perhaps a transient supercell will be the most likely storm modes, capable of damaging gusts and perhaps an instance or two of severe hail. ..Squitieri/Mosier.. 07/09/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LWX...RNK...PBZ...RLX...MRX... LAT...LON 36728197 38058184 38728166 38958147 39218119 39358086 39677960 39687898 39677864 39577821 39297804 38827807 38447827 38097917 37578005 36848058 36218106 36148145 36248186 36728197 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN