Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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526
ACUS11 KWNS 301441
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 301441
TXZ000-301545-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0786
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0941 AM CDT MON MAY 30 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...MIDDLE TX COAST

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 301441Z - 301545Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT

SUMMARY...A FEW STRONG WIND GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF
THE MIDDLE TX COAST FOR THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO. ISOLATED EXTENT OF THE
THREAT SHOULD PRECLUDE THE NEED FOR A WW.

DISCUSSION...RECENT KT20 SURFACE OBSERVATION /ABOUT 30 MI NNW OF
VCT/ REPORTED AT 48 KT GUST NEAR A SMALL BOWING SEGMENT WITHIN LINE
MOVING INTO LAVACA COUNTY. AIRMASS AHEAD OF THE LINE IS VERY MOIST
AND MODERATELY UNSTABLE...SUGGESTING FORWARD-PROPAGATION WILL
PERSIST WITH THE THREAT FOR A FEW STRONG WIND GUSTS. WITH THE LACK
OF STRONGER LOW-LEVEL AND MID-LEVEL FLOW ALOFT...THE OVERALL SVR
THREAT IS EXPECTED TO STAY ISOLATED. SMALL SPATIAL EXTENT OF THE SVR
THREAT WILL LIKELY PRECLUDE THE NEED FOR A WW.

..MOSIER/CORFIDI.. 05/30/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...HGX...CRP...EWX...

LAT...LON   29369695 29659669 29359621 28529665 28469729 29369695




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