000
ACUS11 KWNS 281828
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 281827
NCZ000-SCZ000-GAZ000-ALZ000-282000-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1498
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0127 PM CDT MON JUL 28 2014

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN NC/SRN AND ERN SC/CENTRAL GA/PARTS OF SRN AL

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 281827Z - 282000Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT

SUMMARY...INCREASING STORM COVERAGE WITHIN AN ENVIRONMENT SUPPORTIVE
OF LOW-END SEVERE RISK MAY NECESSITATE WW ISSUANCE ACROSS PARTS OF
THE DISCUSSION AREA.

DISCUSSION...LATEST SURFACE AND OBJECTIVE ANALYSES SHOW A
MOIST/DESTABILIZING AIRMASS AHEAD OF AN ENE-WSW COLD FRONT EXTENDING
FROM SRN/ERN NC TO SRN MS.  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEGUN
DEVELOPING OVER THE PAST HOUR OR SO NEAR AND AHEAD OF THE
FRONT...AND SHOULD CONTINUE TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE/INTENSITY THIS
AFTERNOON.  WITH MODERATE/ROUGHLY UNIDIRECTIONAL WLY FLOW ALOFT
OBSERVED ACROSS THE AREA...A FEW ORGANIZED/ESEWD-MOVING STORM
CLUSTERS SHOULD EVOLVE WITH TIME -- POSING SOME RISK FOR MARGINAL
HAIL AND STRONG/GUSTY WINDS.  WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR CONVECTIVE
EVOLUTION ACROSS THE REGION -- WHERE ANY CONCENTRATION OF STRONGER
CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT COULD REQUIRE WW CONSIDERATION.

..GOSS/HART.. 07/28/2014

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...ILM...CHS...CAE...JAX...FFC...TAE...BMX...MOB...

LAT...LON   33937772 33137930 31928099 31368623 31678776 32068828
            33008503 33368186 34417814 33937772