Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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000
ACUS11 KWNS 141235
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 141235
GAZ000-FLZ000-ALZ000-141400-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1891
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0735 AM CDT TUE OCT 14 2014

AREAS AFFECTED...SWRN GA THROUGH THE CNTRL AND ERN FL PANHANDLE

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 545...

VALID 141235Z - 141400Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 545 CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...SOME THREAT FOR ISOLATED STRONG TO DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND
COUPLE TORNADOES WILL PERSIST ANOTHER FEW HOURS.

DISCUSSION...INITIAL BAND OF STORMS HAS WEAKENED OVER THE ERN
PANHANDLE AS IT MOVES INTO A MORE STABLE REGIME THAT WAS SAMPLED BY
THE 12Z RAOB FROM JACKSONVILLE FL. TRAILING BAND HAS ALSO SHOWN SOME
WEAKENING TREND AS IT MOVES INTO AIR THAT HAS BEEN RENDERED LESS
UNSTABLE BY THE LEADING CONVECTIVE BAND. MOREOVER INFLUENCE OF THE
SHORTWAVE TROUGH LIFTING NWD THROUGH THE TN AND OH VALLEYS IS
SHIFTING AWAY FROM THIS REGION. NEVERTHELESS...VERTICAL WIND
PROFILES REMAIN RESPECTABLE OVER THE CNTRL FL PANHANDLE INTO SWRN GA
WHERE TALLAHASSEE VWP INDICATES LARGE HODOGRAPHS WITH 200-250 M2/S2
0-1 KM STORM RELATIVE HELICITY. ALSO...TENDENCY HAS BEEN FOR STORMS
TO BECOME MORE DISCRETE WITH TIME. THESE FACTORS SUGGEST AT A THREAT
FOR A COUPLE OF TORNADOES WILL PERSIST NEXT FEW HOURS.

..DIAL/EDWARDS.. 10/14/2014

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...JAX...TAE...

LAT...LON   31638491 31768417 31668309 31228309 30628324 29748354
            29578470 29698546 30888520 31638491




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