Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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000
ACUS11 KWNS 060024
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 060024
MNZ000-IAZ000-SDZ000-NEZ000-060230-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1309
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0724 PM CDT SUN JUL 05 2015

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN SD INTO WRN MN

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY

VALID 060024Z - 060230Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 PERCENT

SUMMARY...STORMS SHOULD INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY THIS
EVENING WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS EXPECTED.

DISCUSSION...STORMS ARE BEGINNING TO FORM ALONG THE COLD FRONT
ACROSS NERN SD AND INTO WRN MN. A VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS
IS IN PLACE ALTHOUGH WINDS ALOFT ARE A BIT WEAK. HOWEVER...A SLY
LOW-LEVEL JET WILL ENHANCE STORM RELATIVE INFLOW SUPPORTING
FORWARD-PROPAGATION IN A SEWD DIRECTION. LINEAR FORCING SHOULD FAVOR
UPSCALE GROWTH INTO A LINEAR MCS WITH MAINLY A WIND THREAT BUT ALSO
HAIL IN THE STRONGEST CORES.

..JEWELL/THOMPSON.. 07/06/2015

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MPX...FGF...FSD...OAX...ABR...

LAT...LON   46119564 46219477 45929423 45409396 44869406 44019481
            43079593 42719803 42769817 44719805 44949795 45149748
            45519664 46119564



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