


Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
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377 ACUS11 KWNS 011700 SWOMCD SPC MCD 011700 NCZ000-VAZ000-SCZ000-TNZ000-GAZ000-KYZ000-ALZ000-011900- Mesoscale Discussion 1531 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1200 PM CDT Tue Jul 01 2025 Areas affected...parts of the Southeast Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 011700Z - 011900Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...Locally strong gusts, from predominately wet microbursts with slow-moving widespread thunderstorms, may produce isolated damaging winds through the rest of the afternoon. DISCUSSION...Scattered thunderstorms are underway well to the south of the primary shortwave impulse moving east across the Upper OH Valley. With enhancement from a minor MCV near the middle TN/central KY border, guidance suggests convection will become extensive from the Cumberland Plateau to the lee of the southern Appalachians. However, greater buoyancy and boundary-layer heating should be confined to the Piedmont eastward, with the bulk of convection expected to remain relegated farther west. Overall deep-layer shear is weak, which will lend to slow-moving storms and poorly organized clusters. Still, water-loaded downdrafts in wet microbursts should support sporadic strong gusts capable of localized damaging winds. ..Grams/Mosier.. 07/01/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...RAH...RNK...RLX...GSP...MRX...JKL...FFC...LMK... OHX...HUN... LAT...LON 36608017 35378066 34048335 34068457 35618641 36888589 37308403 37228299 36608017 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH