000
ACUS11 KWNS 070538
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 070537
NCZ000-VAZ000-SCZ000-070930-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0174
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1137 PM CST THU MAR 06 2014

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN VA...CNTRL NC

CONCERNING...FREEZING RAIN

VALID 070537Z - 070930Z

SUMMARY...POCKETS OF FREEZING RAIN SHOULD CONTINUE ACROSS PARTS OF
SRN VA AND CNTRL NC INTO THE EARLY MORNING. FREEZING RAIN RATES OF
UP TO A TENTH OF AN INCH PER HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE. A CHANGEOVER TO
ALL RAIN MAY OCCUR IN SOME AREAS WITHIN THE MCD AREA.

DISCUSSION...LATEST WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A DRY SLOT IN SRN GA
AND SRN SC WITH A LARGE EXPANSE OF PRECIPITATION EXTENDING FROM THE
SRN APPALACHIANS EWD ACROSS SRN VA...NC AND NRN SC. THIS
PRECIPITATION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A ZONE OF STRONG WARM ADVECTION AND
WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SLOWLY NWD THROUGH DAYBREAK. SFC TEMPS IN SRN
VA AND CNTRL NC ARE NEAR FREEZING WITH FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOWING A
SUBSTANTIAL WARM LAYER FROM 900 TO 800 MB. THIS SHOULD FAVOR
FREEZING RAIN WHERE SFC TEMPS REMAIN AT OR BELOW 32 F EARLY THIS
MORNING. FREEZING RAIN RATES OF UP TO A TENTH OF AN INCH PER HOUR
WILL BE POSSIBLE. AS SFC TEMPS INCREASE TO ABOVE FREEZING IN PARTS
OF THE MCD AREA OVER THE NEXT 2 TO 4 HOURS... A CHANGEOVER TO RAIN
CAN BE EXPECTED.

..BROYLES.. 03/07/2014

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...RAH...RNK...CAE...GSP...

LAT...LON   34898029 34998096 35668102 36537929 37037783 36657756
            35417962 34898029