Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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449
ACUS11 KWNS 290759
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 290759
OKZ000-KSZ000-TXZ000-NMZ000-290930-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0491
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0259 AM CDT FRI APR 29 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...TX/OK PANHANDLES AND TX SOUTH PLAINS...FAR
EAST-CENTRAL NM

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 122...

VALID 290759Z - 290930Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 122
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...WHILE THE SEVERE THREAT HAD DIMINISHED FOR A TIME...IT
APPEARS TO BE INCREASING ONCE AGAIN WITH CONVECTION STRENGTHENING
OVER EAST-CENTRAL NM THAT IS LIKELY TO SPREAD/DEVELOP EAST WITHIN WW
122. ISOLATED SEVERE HAIL/WIND REMAIN THE PRIMARY HAZARDS.

DISCUSSION...RENEWED CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT IS OCCURRING ACROSS
EAST-CENTRAL NM. THIS APPEARS TO BE IN RESPONSE TO A LOBE OF ASCENT
/INFERRED THROUGH WATER VAPOR AND INFRARED IMAGERY/ DOWNSTREAM OF
THE SOUTHWEST SHORTWAVE TROUGH. SUSTAINED HEIGHT FALLS AND DCVA OVER
THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS SHOULD RESULT IN A SUBSTANTIAL INCREASE IN
STORM COVERAGE FROM THE SOUTH PLAINS INTO THE PANHANDLE. MOST CAMS
APPEAR TO SIMULATE THIS SCENARIO REASONABLY WELL. OVERALL
ENVIRONMENT AMID CLUSTER TO LINEAR MODES SHOULD REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR
ISOLATED OCCURRENCES OF SEVERE HAIL AND WIND THROUGH AT LEAST
DAYBREAK.

..GRAMS.. 04/29/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OUN...DDC...LUB...AMA...ABQ...

LAT...LON   37080050 37109986 36879956 35839973 34980043 33960121
            33590281 33770340 34140348 36030194 37080050




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