Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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000
ACUS11 KWNS 240811
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 240810
GAZ000-FLZ000-ALZ000-241015-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1992
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0210 AM CST WED DEC 24 2014

AREAS AFFECTED...RISK FOR FL PANHANDLE/SWRN AND S CENTRAL GA

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 562...

VALID 240810Z - 241015Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 562 CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...RISK FOR LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS OR A TORNADO OR TWO
CONTINUES ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE FL PANHANDLE/N FL AND ADJACENT SWRN
AND S CENTRAL GA EARLY THIS AM.

DISCUSSION...LATEST SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS A COLD FRONT ADVANCING
EWD ACROSS ERN MS ATTM...WITH A COOL CONTINENTAL WEDGE AIRMASS
REMAINING IN PLACE ACROSS THE NRN HALF OF GA AND ERN AL -- BEING
REINFORCED BY ONGOING/WIDESPREAD RAINFALL ACROSS THIS AREA.  E OF
THE COLD FRONT AND S OF THE WEDGE FRONT -- I.E. ACROSS SRN GA AND
FL...A MARITIME TROPICAL AIRMASS IS EVIDENT...WITH UPPER 60S TO LOW
70S DEWPOINTS CONTRIBUTING TO WEAK /AOB 500 J/KG/ BUT SUFFICIENT
MIXED-LAYER CAPE TO SUPPORT SURFACE-BASED STORMS.

THE STRONGEST STORMS ARE ONGOING WITHIN A BAND FROM THE CENTRAL FL
PANHANDLE NEWD INTO SWRN GA...WHERE FAVORABLY STRONG LOW-LEVEL
DIRECTIONAL AND SPEED SHEAR IS INDICATED PER AREA VWPS.  THIS HAS
SUPPORTED NUMEROUS -- BUT RELATIVELY WEAK/TRANSIENT -- LOW-LEVEL
CYCLONIC CIRCULATIONS OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS...WITH ONE
RELATIVELY STRONGER COUPLET NOW OVER SRN EARLY COUNTY GA APPROACHING
NWRN MILLER CO ATTM.

EXPECT A RELATIVELY STEADY-STATE BACKGROUND SITUATION TO PERSIST --
I.E. WITH PERSISTENT CONVECTION ALONG WITH OCCASIONAL LOW-LEVEL
ROTATION WITHIN STRONGER STORMS ACROSS THIS AREA.  POTENTIAL REMAINS
FOR BRIEF ENHANCEMENTS TO THE LOW-LEVEL ROTATION OF ANY CELL...WHICH
COULD ALLOW QUICK SPIN-UP OF A TORNADO OR TWO AT ANY TIME ACROSS THE
WW AREA.

..GOSS/EDWARDS.. 12/24/2014

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...TBW...JAX...FFC...TAE...MOB...

LAT...LON   29808660 30288650 30868589 31778446 32288362 32468251
            32068238 31208243 29568292 29068345 29168537 29808660




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