000
ACUS11 KWNS 260349
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 260348
GAZ000-FLZ000-260515-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0102
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0948 PM CST WED FEB 25 2015

AREAS AFFECTED...NORTHERN FL/FAR SOUTHERN GA

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 4...

VALID 260348Z - 260515Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 4 CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND THE RISK FOR A TORNADO
WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP EAST-NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS NORTHERN FL/FAR
SOUTHERN GA THROUGH LATE EVENING/EARLY IN THE OVERNIGHT. TORNADO
WATCH 4 CONTINUES...WITH NO ADDITIONAL WATCH ISSUANCES EXPECTED.

DISCUSSION...A RELATIVELY WELL-ORGANIZED SQUALL LINE CONTINUES TO
QUICKLY PROGRESS EAST-NORTHEASTWARD LATE THIS EVENING ACROSS FAR
SOUTH-CENTRAL/SOUTHEAST GA AND NORTHERN FL. THE NORTHERN PORTION OF
THE SQUALL LINE ACROSS SOUTHEAST GA/NORTHEAST FL WILL TEND TO
OUTPACE THE MAIN RESERVOIR OF NEAR-SURFACE ROOTED BUOYANCY OVER THE
NEXT HOUR OR TWO...WHILE THE STRONGEST UPDRAFTS WILL TEND TO
CONTINUE TO MOVE INLAND ACROSS NORTH FL VIA THE NORTHEAST GULF OF
MEXICO. WITHIN AN INTENSE VERTICAL SHEAR ENVIRONMENT WITH 70+ KT
WINDS WITHIN THE LOWEST 1-2 KM AGL /REFERENCE REGIONAL WSR-88D VWP
DATA/...ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS AND PERHAPS A TORNADO WILL REMAIN A
POSSIBILITY VIA THE SQUALL LINE AND ASSOCIATED SMALL-SCALE
BOWS/EMBEDDED CIRCULATIONS.

..GUYER.. 02/26/2015

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...JAX...TAE...

LAT...LON   30888309 31248239 31128146 30218171 29628342 30208376
            30888309