Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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554
ACUS11 KWNS 030731
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 030730
ALZ000-030830-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0085
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0130 AM CST WED FEB 03 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN AL THROUGH EXTREME

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 13...

VALID 030730Z - 030830Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 13 CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...LINE OF STORMS WILL REMAIN CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SPORADIC
STRONG TO DAMAGING GUSTS AND A COUPLE OF TORNADOES THROUGH THE EARLY
MORNING AS IT CONTINUES THROUGH ERN AL NEXT COUPLE HOURS. STORMS
WILL BEGIN MOVING EAST OF WW 13 BY 08Z...AND THIS WW CAN BE LOCALLY
EXTENDED FARTHER EAST ANOTHER COUPLE HOURS AS NEEDED.

DISCUSSION...LINE OF STORMS FROM NERN AL SWWD THROUGH CNTRL AL IS
MOVING EAST AT AROUND 35 KT. THE STORMS WILL APPROACH THE ERN END OF
WW 13 BY 08Z. THE DOWNSTREAM ATMOSPHERE IS ONLY MARGINALLY UNSTABLE
WITH WEAK LOW-MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES...AND THE WEAK THERMODYNAMIC
ENVIRONMENT SHOULD CONTINUE TO SERVE AS A LIMITING FACTOR FOR A MORE
WIDESPREAD AND ROBUST SEVERE THREAT. NEVERTHELESS...A STRONG LLJ
REMAINS IN PLACE ALONG WITH 60 KT 0-6 KM SHEAR. THUS OCCASIONAL
EMBEDDED MESO-VORTICES AND BOWING SEGMENTS WILL CONTINUE TO
OCCUR...POSING AT LEAST A MODEST THREAT FOR A FEW STRONG TO DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS AND A COUPLE OF TORNADOES THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING.

..DIAL.. 02/03/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...BMX...

LAT...LON   32308623 32868649 33538641 33948613 33968571 33568561
            32868548 32388567 32308623




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