Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Indianapolis, IN

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FXUS63 KIND 162323
AFDIND

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
723 PM EDT Mon Oct 16 2017

.UPDATE...
The AVIATION Section has been updated below.

&&

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 245 PM EDT Mon Oct 16 2017

Pleasant, dry, and mild weather will be the rule this week as high
pressure dominates the area. A gradual warmup can be expected into
the early part of the weekend before a cold front moves into the
area late this weekend bringing the next chance for showers.

&&

.NEAR TERM /Tonight/...
Issued at 245 PM EDT Mon Oct 16 2017

A blue sky day for much of central Indiana will give way to clear
skies, light winds, and cool temperatures overnight, with some
locations likely to nudge down into the upper 30s for lows. At
this time, temperatures appear slightly too warm to support any
threat for frost. Undercut consensus numbers slightly given
forecast dewpoints and good radiational conditions overnight.

&&

.SHORT TERM /Tuesday through Thursday/...
Issued at 245 PM EDT Mon Oct 16 2017

A very quiet short term is expected as high pressure remains the
dominant force across the area. Convective temperatures appear
unreachable the next several days so clear skies are expected
throughout.

Temperatures will steadily warm as heights build across the area.
Highs should be back in the low to mid 70s across the entire area
by Thursday. Made minor increases to diurnal range presented by
consensus numbers with clear skies throughout and good radiational
conditions during the nights.

&&

.LONG TERM /Thursday Night through Monday/...
Issued at 245 PM EDT Mon Oct 16 2017

The next threat for precipitation appears unlikely to arrive
before late Saturday night into early Sunday as a cold front
approaches. Will keep only a mention of showers for now, but an
isolated thunder threat may present itself depending in part on
the time of frontal passage.

Temperatures during the long term will remain relatively warm
until the end of the period post frontal passage. Blended
initialization performed well and only minor adjustments were
necessary.

&&

.AVIATION /Discussion for the 17/00Z TAF Issuance/...

Issued at 720 PM EDT Mon Oct 16 2017

VFR conditions will prevail for the duration of TAF period with
high pressure over the region. Winds will be variable at 4 to 8
kts.

&&

.IND WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...Nield
NEAR TERM...Nield
SHORT TERM...Nield
LONG TERM...Nield
AVIATION...TDUD



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