Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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000
ACUS11 KWNS 272103
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 272103
MSZ000-LAZ000-ARZ000-TXZ000-272300-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0765
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0403 PM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...WESTERN MISSISSIPPI...MUCH OF LOUISIANA...AND
SOUTHEAST/SOUTH TEXAS

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 223...

VALID 272103Z - 272300Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 223
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...CONTINUE WW 223.  SOME SEVERE THREAT WILL EXIST ON THE
WESTERN AND NORTHEASTERN PERIPHERIES OF THE WW OVER THE NEXT 2-3
HOURS.

DISCUSSION...SOUTHEASTWARD-MOVING MCS CONTINUES ACROSS PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS ATTM.  THE AIRMASS DOWNSTREAM
OF THIS MCS CONTINUES TO DESTABILIZE...WITH 2000-4000 J/KG MUCAPE
NOTED /HIGHEST OVER SOUTH TEXAS/.  ONE BOWING SEGMENT OVER WINN
PARISH LOUISIANA WAS RESPONSIBLE FOR A 54 KNOT WIND GUST AT IER IN
THE LAST HOUR AND NUMEROUS REPORTS OF TREES DOWN/WIND DAMAGE.  THIS
BOWING COMPLEX WILL EXIT WW 223 TO THE NORTHEAST...AND A DOWNSTREAM
WATCH MAY BE NEEDED FOR NORTHEASTERN LOUISIANA AND WESTERN
MISSISSIPPI.

FARTHER SOUTHWEST...AN ISOLATED SEVERE THREAT WILL CONTINUE AS
STORMS REMAIN JUST NORTH OF A WELL-ESTABLISHED COLD POOL FROM HARRIS
TO LAVACA COUNTIES IN TEXAS.  ISOLATED INSTANCES OF HAIL AND
DAMAGING WIND MAY OCCUR WITH THIS ACTIVITY.

FINALLY...AN ISOLATED STORM MAY INITIATE ALONG A DRYLINE/COLD POOL
INTERSECTION LOCATED ABOUT 50 WNW VCT.  A CONDITIONAL THREAT FOR ALL
MODES OF SEVERE WILL EXIST IF A STORM DEVELOPS IN THIS AREA GIVEN
THE STRONG INSTABILITY AND VERTICAL SHEAR IN PLACE.

..COOK/CORFIDI.. 05/27/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...JAN...LIX...LCH...SHV...HGX...CRP...EWX...

LAT...LON   28209675 28219740 28459800 29239797 29769769 30169673
            30879506 31769384 32169345 32309298 32499251 32919208
            33039187 33199150 33179110 32919062 32489049 31769079
            31329099 30869139 30319211 29779258 29689287 29629384
            29299484 28949555 28599609 28209675




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