Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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000
ACUS11 KWNS 241148
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 241147
NDZ000-241345-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1456
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0647 AM CDT THU JUL 24 2014

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF WRN ND

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 438...

VALID 241147Z - 241345Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 438
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...BAND OF STRONG/LOCALLY SEVERE STORMS CONTINUES MOVING EWD
ACROSS WRN ND...WITHIN WW 438.

DISCUSSION...LATEST RADAR LOOP SHOWS A FAIRLY WELL-ORGANIZED BAND OF
STORMS SHIFTING EWD AT ROUGHLY 40-45 KT ACROSS WRN ND.  THE BAND HAS
EXHIBITED GRADUAL WEAKENING OVER THE PAST HOUR OVERALL...THOUGH
ISOLATED SEVERE RISK REMAINS EVIDENT -- GIVEN DEGREE OF ELEVATED
INSTABILITY AND OBSERVED SHEAR.  WHILE EXTRAPOLATION SHOWS STORMS
NEARING THE ERN EDGE OF THE WATCH AROUND 13Z...CONTINUED GRADUAL
WEAKENING OF THE CONVECTION IS EXPECTED...WHICH MAY PRECLUDE
ADDITIONAL WW ISSUANCE.

..GOSS.. 07/24/2014

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...BIS...

LAT...LON   48840293 49040035 46620009 46590369 47670323 48840293




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