Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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000
ACUS11 KWNS 230202
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 230201
NEZ000-KSZ000-COZ000-230300-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1365
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0901 PM CDT FRI JUL 22 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...SWRN NEB...NERN CO...NWRN KS

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 230201Z - 230300Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT

SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORM CLUSTERS WILL PROPAGATE SEWD ACROSS THE
CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS.  LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS MAY BE NOTED.

DISCUSSION...DIURNALLY DRIVEN CONVECTION THAT INITIATED ACROSS THE
NEBRASKA PANHANDLE INTO NERN CO HAS EVOLVED INTO SEVERAL STRONG
THUNDERSTORM CLUSTERS ALONG WRN FRINGE OF HIGHER QUALITY MOISTURE.
00Z SOUNDING FROM LBF EXHIBITED EXTREME SBCAPE WITH BULK SHEAR
SUPPORTIVE OF ORGANIZED MULTI-CELL UPDRAFTS...ESPECIALLY GIVEN THE
OBSERVED INSTABILITY.  LARGE HAIL IS LIKELY NOTED WITH THE STRONGEST
STORMS...ESPECIALLY OVER SWRN NEBRASKA.  AS WEAK BRANCH OF LLJ
INCREASES ACROSS NWRN KS INTO THIS ACTIVITY THERE MAY BE A
PROPENSITY FOR THIS COMPLEX TO REMAIN ORGANIZED AS IT PROPAGATES
SLOWLY SEWD.

..DARROW/THOMPSON.. 07/23/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LBF...GLD...BOU...CYS...

LAT...LON   39930277 41460280 41590135 40600102 39770151 39930277




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