Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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000
ACUS11 KWNS 301900
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 301859
GAZ000-FLZ000-ALZ000-302100-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1857
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1259 PM CST WED NOV 30 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF WESTERN GA INTO SOUTHEAST AL AND THE FL
PANHANDLE

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 513

VALID 301859Z - 302100Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 513 CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...RISK FOR LOCALLY GUSTY/DAMAGING WINDS AND A COUPLE OF
BRIEF TORNADOES WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON IN AND NEAR TORNADO
WATCH 513.

DISCUSSION...THE LATEST RADAR LOOP SHOWS THE MOST ORGANIZED PORTION
OF A LINE OF CONVECTION MOVING ACROSS NORTHWEST GA AND SOUTHEAST AL
AT THIS TIME...AND IS JUST MOVING INTO WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE FL
PANHANDLE.  IN ADDITION...SHOWERS/LOW-TOPPED THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE
AHEAD OF THE LINE ACROSS THE FL PANHANDLE AND INTO SOUTHEAST AL AND
SOUTHWEST GA.  SEVERAL OF THE LONGER-LIVED OF THESE CELLS CONTINUE
TO EXHIBIT WEAK ROTATION...WITH A BRIEF TORNADO OR TWO A POSSIBILITY.
 MEANWHILE...ROTATING UPDRAFTS CONTINUE TO OCCUR -- EMBEDDED WITHIN
THE LINE ITSELF -- WHICH LIKEWISE POSE AN ONGOING TORNADO RISK.
WHILE THE THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT AHEAD OF THE CONVECTION WILL
REMAIN CHARACTERIZED BY WEAK LAPSE RATES AND VERY MODEST CAPE...SHEAR
FAVORABLE FOR ROTATING STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO PROMOTE EMBEDDED
STRONGER UPDRAFTS.  HOWEVER...WEAK VEERING NOTED WITHIN THE SURFACE
WIND FIELD SUGGESTS SOME DECREASE IN LOW-LEVEL SHEAR...WHICH SHOULD
-- ALONG WITH THE MARGINAL THERMODYNAMICS -- TEMPER OVERALL TORNADO
RISK.

..GOSS.. 11/30/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FFC...TAE...BMX...MOB...

LAT...LON   34318353 32438380 31518420 30438504 30228681 30268778
            32598555 33718456 34358417 34318353



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