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Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
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000 ACUS11 KWNS 231827 SWOMCD SPC MCD 231827 KYZ000-MOZ000-TNZ000-ARZ000-MSZ000-231930- MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1443 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0127 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2014 AREAS AFFECTED...SERN MO...NERN AR CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY VALID 231827Z - 231930Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...95 PERCENT SUMMARY...ONGOING COMPLEX OF TSTMS WILL POSE A DMGG WIND AND LARGE HAIL THREAT THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON ACROSS FAR SERN MO AND NWRN AR. A SMALL WW IS BEING ISSUED FOR NERN AR AND THE MO BOOTHEEL. DISCUSSION...COMPLEX OF TSTMS CONTINUES TO MAINTAIN STRENGTH...WITH PROPAGATION/GENERATION OF NEW CONVECTION FAVORING THE WRN FLANK. GENERAL MOTION IS TOWARDS THE SSW AT 15-20 KT...WITH STORMS SLOWLY PROGRESSING/SPREADING INTO NERN AR OVER THE NEXT 1-2 HRS. OBSERVATIONS AND INTENSITY TRENDS ON RADAR INDICATE THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG TO SVR WIND GUSTS...WITH A 46 KT GUST RECENTLY OBSERVED AT CAPE GIRARDEAU. INSTABILITY AXIS IS ORIENTED FROM N-CNTRL AR INTO SERN MO...AND WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT A SVR WIND THREAT AND PERHAPS ISOLATED INSTANCES OF NEAR-SVR HAIL. EVENTUAL CONSOLIDATION/MERGING WITH NEW UPDRAFTS DEVELOPING TO THE W MAY OCCUR LATER THIS AFTERNOON...WITH THE PRIMARY SVR THREAT CONTINUING TO SHIFT SWWD. ..ROGERS/HART.. 07/23/2014 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... ATTN...WFO...PAH...MEG...LSX...LZK...SGF... LAT...LON 36828945 35958958 35029017 34899048 35109084 35489106 35999130 36519129 37009113 37179075 37259028 36828945
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- Page last modified: Jul 15th, 2014 18:41 UTC