Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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000
ACUS11 KWNS 142037
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 142036
ALZ000-FLZ000-MSZ000-LAZ000-142300-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0353
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0336 PM CDT MON APR 14 2014

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN LA...SRN MS AND AL...WRN FL PANHANDLE

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 142036Z - 142300Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...60 PERCENT

SUMMARY...STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY DEVELOP NEWD OUT OF SERN
LA...WITH SOME CONDITIONAL THREAT OF BRIEF TORNADOES.

DISCUSSION...A CLUSTER OF STORMS HAS FORMED OVER SERN LA...IN A
REGION WHERE RICHER LOW LEVEL MOISTURE HAS MOVED INLAND AND WHERE
HEATING HAS DESTABILIZED THE AREA. ALSO IN THIS GENERAL VICINITY IS
AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY...CURRENTLY EXTENDING FROM SWRN MS INTO SERN LA
TO JUST OFF THE MS/AL COASTS.

AS THE UPPER TROUGH APPROACHES...INCREASING WIND PROFILES WILL HELP
TO PUSH THE OLD OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FARTHER INLAND...AND WILL ALSO
RESULT IN INCREASED SRH LEVELS. ALTHOUGH THERE MAY BE NUMEROUS
STORMS...ESPECIALLY AS THE COLD FRONT APPROACHES...A FEW STORMS MAY
ACQUIRE ROTATION AND A TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT. TRENDS WILL BE
MONITORED FOR A POTENTIAL TORNADO WATCH LATER THIS
AFTERNOON/EVENING.

..JEWELL/HART.. 04/14/2014

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...TAE...MOB...JAN...LIX...LCH...

LAT...LON   30348640 30338649 30228694 30118786 30008867 29758876
            29468900 29198891 28958899 28979066 29419156 30369126
            30808989 31738684 31638628 31178595 30668590 30348640



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