Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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000
ACUS11 KWNS 302339
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 302338
NYZ000-NJZ000-PAZ000-MDZ000-WVZ000-010045-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1258
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0638 PM CDT TUE JUN 30 2015

AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL/EASTERN PA INTO WESTERN NJ AND SOUTHERN NY

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 371...372...

VALID 302338Z - 010045Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
371...372...CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...SOME STRONG TO ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS WILL CONTINUE THE
NEXT HOUR OR SO ACROSS PARTS OF CENTRAL PA. THE THREAT SHOULD REMAIN
ISOLATED AND BRIEF AND A NEW WATCH IS NOT EXPECTED.

DISCUSSION...SOME STRONG TO BRIEFLY SEVERE THREAT WILL CONTINUE THE
NEXT HOUR OR SO ACROSS NORTH-CENTRAL PA WHERE STORMS HAVE RECENTLY
INTENSIFIED SOME ALONG A WEAK TROUGH/CONFLUENCE ZONE. EFFECTIVE
SHEAR ACROSS THE AREA IS STILL FAVORABLE...IN CONJUNCTION WITH WEAK
INSTABILITY...TO SUPPORT A GUSTY TO LOCALLY STRONG WIND THREAT.
HOWEVER...WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING AND ENSUING BOUNDARY
LAYER STABILIZATION THE THREAT WILL BE LIMITED AND BRIEF. WHILE A
NEW WATCH IS NOT EXPECTED...A LOCAL EXTENSION MAY BE NEEDED
DEPENDING ON STORM TRENDS. ELSEWHERE ACROSS WW 372...THE SEVERE
THREAT WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH INTO THE EVENING HOURS.

..LEITMAN.. 06/30/2015

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OKX...ALY...PHI...BGM...BUF...CTP...LWX...PBZ...
RLX...CLE...

LAT...LON   41647976 41767965 41897949 42007903 41997413 41187419
            40107471 39757599 39398052 41647976



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