


Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
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104 ACUS11 KWNS 112053 SWOMCD SPC MCD 112053 ILZ000-WIZ000-IAZ000-MOZ000-112230- Mesoscale Discussion 1646 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0353 PM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025 Areas affected...Southern/eastern IA into southwest WI...northwest IL...far northern MO Concerning...Tornado Watch 505... Valid 112053Z - 112230Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 505 continues. SUMMARY...Damaging wind and localized tornado potential will continue through late afternoon. Eventual downstream watch issuance is possible. DISCUSSION...As of 2045 UTC, a small bowing segment appears to be developing across east-central IA, with the KDVN/KDMX radars depicting a compact but intensifying velocity signature across Benton and Linn Counties. This bowing segment will continue to move eastward along a baroclinic zone and could produce a swath of damaging winds, along with some potential for a line-embedded tornado and isolated hail. Elsewhere, multiple discrete cells are ongoing from southwest WI into parts of southern IA. While deep-layer shear is only marginally favorable for supercells, a favorable overlap of low-level instability and modestly enhanced surface vorticity could support a tornado threat with these cells, especially in the vicinity of the primary baroclinic zone. The stronger cells will also be capable of producing isolated hail. Some severe threat may eventually spread into a larger portion of central/northern IL and southern WI, and downstream watch issuance is possible depending on short-term trends with ongoing convection. ..Dean/Mosier.. 07/11/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LOT...ILX...MKX...DVN...ARX...DMX...EAX... LAT...LON 41289472 41569262 42639194 42889041 42888944 42428875 41718893 41188986 40369129 40309263 40309402 40329457 40459468 40799456 41289472 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN