Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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000
ACUS11 KWNS 302216
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 302216
ALZ000-MSZ000-LAZ000-302315-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0848
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0516 PM CDT SAT MAY 30 2015

AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL AND EASTERN MISSISSIPPI AND A SMALL PART OF
SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA...

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 302216Z - 302315Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...5 PERCENT

SUMMARY...ISOLATED SEVERE/DAMAGING WIND GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE WITH THE
STRONGEST CELLS. A WW IS NOT LIKELY.

DISCUSSION...A FEW DAMAGING WIND GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE WITH STORMS THAT
HAVE ORGANIZED INTO A LINE FROM CENTRAL INTO SOUTHWESTERN
MISSISSIPPI. ALTHOUGH DEEP LAYER SHEAR IS A BIT WEAK FOR STORM
ORGANIZATION...STORMS HAVE ORGANIZED ALONG AN EWD-PROPAGATING COLD
POOL...WITH 30 KNOT WNWLY FLOW NOTED AT 3KM AGL ON THE DGX VAD WIND
PROFILER AMIDST 1500-3000 J/KG MUCAPE AHEAD OF THE LINE SUPPORTIVE
OF AT LEAST AN ISOLATED SEVERE THREAT OVER THE NEXT TWO HOURS. A WW
WILL LIKELY NOT BE NEEDED FOR THIS ACTIVITY DUE TO THE ISOLATED
NATURE OF THE THREAT.

..COOK/THOMPSON.. 05/30/2015

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...MEG...JAN...LIX...

LAT...LON   30639128 31209090 32039037 32399006 32708972 33188948
            33608944 33958937 34018896 33978837 33618815 32898831
            32648838 32108850 31448910 31168950 30569035 30559094
            30639128



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