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000
ACUS11 KWNS 220211
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 220210
TXZ000-220315-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0379
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0910 PM CDT MON APR 21 2014

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF CNTRL/S CNTRL TEXAS

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 85...

VALID 220210Z - 220315Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 85
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...IN GENERAL...THE THREAT APPEARS TO BE DIMINISHING AND
ANOTHER WATCH DOES NOT APPEAR NEEDED...BUT A LOCAL WATCH EXTENSION
IN TIME FOR ANOTHER HOUR OR TWO IS NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION.

DISCUSSION...COLD POOL CONSOLIDATION AND STRENGTHENING WAS
APPARENTLY NOT SUFFICIENT TO GENERATE ENOUGH LIFT TO OVERCOME
INCREASING INHIBITION /WITH SURFACE COOLING/ FOR BOUNDARY LAYER
PARCELS SOUTHEAST OF THE HILL COUNTRY.  EVEN WITH THE ONGOING
CLUSTERING OF STORMS ACROSS THE JUNCTION/KERRVILLE AREAS...POTENTIAL
FOR APPRECIABLE FURTHER INTENSIFICATION IS BECOMING INCREASINGLY
DOUBTFUL GIVEN THE LACK OF A MORE SUBSTANTIVE LOW-LEVEL JET.
FREQUENT LIGHTNING PERSISTS IN STRONGER STORMS...PARTICULARLY WITH
STORMS SLOWLY PROGRESSING SOUTHEAST OF THE DALLAS METRO AREA...BUT
SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL APPEARS TO BE DIMINISHING...OR AT LEAST
BECOMING TOO ISOLATED IN NATURE/SPARSE IN COVERAGE FOR ANOTHER
SEVERE WEATHER WATCH.

..KERR.. 04/22/2014

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...SHV...FWD...EWX...SJT...

LAT...LON   30980017 30879921 30949843 31399740 32339697 32649662
            32709572 32329540 32179644 29859733 29349860 30530069
            30980017

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