Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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000
ACUS11 KWNS 232259
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 232258
SCZ000-GAZ000-240000-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1945
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0458 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN GA...SRN SC

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 558...

VALID 232258Z - 240000Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 558 CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...STRONG WIND GUSTS PRODUCING TREE DAMAGE SHOULD REMAIN THE
PRIMARY THREAT WITH THIN QLCS PROGRESSING E/NE TOWARDS THE SAVANNAH
RIVER. ENVIRONMENT REMAINS SUPPORTIVE FOR A BRIEF TORNADO OR TWO AND
DOWNSTREAM WW ISSUANCE REMAINS POSSIBLE WITH A 50 PERCENT
PROBABILITY.

DISCUSSION...THIN N/S-ORIENTED QLCS FROM GREENE TO ATKINSON COUNTIES
IN CNTRL GA HAS BEEN MOVING E/NE BETWEEN 40-50 KT. MEASURED WIND
GUSTS TO AROUND 40 KT WERE SAMPLED IN THE PAST HOUR IN W-CNTRL GA
INCLUDING KMCN AND TREE DAMAGE HAS BEEN REPORTED. PER SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS AND RAP SOUNDINGS...THE 63-64 DEG F ISODROSOTHERM
SHOULD ROUGHLY DEMARCATE THE NRN EXTENT OF REALISTIC SEVERE
POTENTIAL. ALTHOUGH BUOYANCY WILL REMAIN A CONTINUED LIMITING FACTOR
TO MORE ROBUST UPDRAFTS...30-40 KT 0-1 KM SHEAR PER CLX/CAE VWP DATA
WILL SUPPORT LARGE CYCLONIC HODOGRAPHS SUPPORTIVE OF WIND/TORNADO
POTENTIAL TOWARDS SRN SC.

..GRAMS/HART.. 11/23/2014

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...ILM...CHS...CAE...JAX...FFC...TAE...

LAT...LON   33168300 33488249 33688136 33608004 33387974 32907989
            32478029 32128065 31738111 31318184 31208224 31188275
            31248304 33168300



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