Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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096
ACUS11 KWNS 250048
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 250048
KSZ000-OKZ000-250145-

Mesoscale Discussion 0321
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0748 PM CDT Fri Mar 24 2017

Areas affected...South-central and southeast Kansas

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 79...

Valid 250048Z - 250145Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 79
continues.

SUMMARY...Thunderstorm intensity is expected to continue to decrease
over the next few hours. Although an isolated, marginally severe
hail report will remain possible for the next 1-2 hours, the severe
thunderstorm watch may be canceled early.

DISCUSSION...Recent radar trends suggest thunderstorm intensity is
continuing to wane across the area. This appears to be attributed to
several factors including the loss of diurnal heating, increasing
thunderstorm outflow, and the overall southeast progression of the
surface front. Despite the lessening of surface-based instability,
cold mid-level temperatures and mid-level lapse rates on the order
of 7-8 C/km will maintain thunderstorm activity over the next couple
of hours. Despite a marginally severe hail report or two with the
strongest of thunderstorm cores, severe thunderstorm watch #79 may
be canceled early.

..Marsh.. 03/25/2017

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...TSA...TOP...ICT...

LAT...LON   37009650 37009761 37009780 38169791 38259793 38709793
            38869793 38869793 38959793 39139737 39139719 39139700
            39139695 38749594 38709594 38259594 37009595 37009595
            37009600 37009650 37009650




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