Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC) Issued by NWS
000
ACUS11 KWNS 180006
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 180006
TXZ000-OKZ000-NMZ000-180100-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1115
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0706 PM CDT MON JUN 17 2013
AREAS AFFECTED...ERN NM...PORTIONS TX/OK PANHANDLES...TX S PLAINS
AND PERMIAN BASIN
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 323...
VALID 180006Z - 180100Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 323
CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...GREATEST DMGG WIND AND LARGE HAIL THREAT WILL REMAIN
FOCUSED OVER ERN NM AND THE TX S PLAINS THE NEXT 1-2 HRS. SVR THREAT
CURRENTLY APPEARS MORE ISOLATED ACROSS THE NRN TX PANHANDLE...BUT
SHOULD INCREASE AS TSTMS ENCOUNTER A PROGRESSIVELY MORE MOIST
BOUNDARY LAYER.
DISCUSSION...GREATEST COVERAGE OF STRONG-SVR TSTMS IS FOCUSED OVER
ERN NM WITH A LOOSELY ORGANIZED BROKEN LINE EVOLVING OUT OF INITIAL
UPSLOPE REGIME OVER THE HIGH PLAINS. ADDITIONAL TSTM DEVELOPMENT HAS
OCCURRED ALONG A BOUNDARY POSITIONED FROM APPROXIMATELY 30 S CVS TO
15 SE LBB AS OF 00Z. CONVECTION MOVING ACROSS ERN NM INTO W TX IS
ENCOUNTERING A PROGRESSIVELY MORE MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER /60S DEW
POINTS/ AND SHOULD CONTINUE TO SLOWLY ORGANIZE OVER THE NEXT 1-2
HRS...AND AN ACCOMPANYING THREAT FOR DMGG WIND GUSTS AND LARGE HAIL
PERSISTING ACROSS THE TX S PLAINS AND PERMIAN BASIN.
CURRENT TRENDS SUGGEST SVR THREAT COULD REMAIN MORE ISOLATED ACROSS
THE NRN TX PANHANDLE. HOWEVER...WITH A MORE MOIST/UNSTABLE
DOWNSTREAM ENVIRONMENT /AS NOTED IN 00Z AMA SOUNDING/...THREAT WILL
PERSIST ACROSS THIS AREA...ESPECIALLY IF LINE CONTINUES TO
EXPAND/FILL NWD INTO THE TX PANHANDLE.
..ROGERS.. 06/18/2013
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...FWD...SJT...LUB...AMA...MAF...ABQ...
LAT...LON 32639907 31769913 31039997 30830123 30570215 30330371
31010395 32950395 35100446 36090435 36450385 36620340
36730198 36570144 33340028 32639907