Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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000
ACUS11 KWNS 300052
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 300052
MOZ000-300145-

Mesoscale Discussion 0373
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0752 PM CDT Wed Mar 29 2017

Areas affected...PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN MISSOURI

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely

Valid 300052Z - 300145Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent

SUMMARY...Strong to occasionally severe thunderstorms should spread
into the discussion area over the next few hours, with an attendant
threat for a few damaging wind gusts, a couple tornadoes, and
occasional instances of severe hail.

DISCUSSION...As large-scale ascent related to the upper-level jet
continues to spread across the region, thunderstorms have increased
in coverage across portions of northern Arkansas and
southern/central Missouri. These storms are reaching the eastern
extent of ongoing Watch 99 at present. While the moist unstable
sector does not extend much beyond the eastern edge of the ongoing
watch, a corridor of favorably backed surface flow and dew points in
the upper 50s/lower 60s does exist across southeastern Missouri. As
such, veering winds with height and sufficient buoyancy will support
some severe threat east of the current watch, and watch issuance is
likely within the next hour or so.

..Picca/Edwards.. 03/30/2017

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...PAH...MEG...LSX...SGF...

LAT...LON   36799100 38019156 38219175 38479231 38739164 38609107
            38069022 36938987 36589000 36539074 36799100



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