Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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000
ACUS11 KWNS 282020
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 282020
KSZ000-OKZ000-282215-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1425
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0320 PM CDT THU JUL 28 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...S-CNTRL KS...CNTRL OK

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 282020Z - 282215Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...5 PERCENT

SUMMARY...ISOLATED STRONG TO SVR WINDS GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH
THE LATE AFTERNOON ACROSS S-CNTRL KS AND CNTRL OK.

DISCUSSION...CURRENT TSTM ACTIVITY IN S-CNTRL KS AND N-CNTRL OK WILL
LIKELY CONTINUE SWD INTO THE WARM AND MOIST AIRMASS ACROSS CNTRL OK.
THE LACK OF STRONGER VERTICAL SHEAR WILL LIKELY PRECLUDE A MORE
WIDESPREAD ORGANIZED SVR THREAT BUT RECENT INX VAD SAMPLED AROUND 30
KT OF 0-6 KM BULK SHEAR...WHICH...WHEN COMBINED WITH MODERATE
INSTABILITY...IS SUFFICIENT FOR ROBUST MULTICELLS CAPABLE OF STRONG
COLD POOLS. AS A RESULT...SOME ISOLATED GUSTY WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE
THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON.

..MOSIER/DIAL.. 07/28/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...TSA...ICT...OUN...

LAT...LON   37099824 37629774 37609658 37009550 36279554 34909672
            35459853 37099824




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