Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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000
ACUS11 KWNS 010239
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 010239
MOZ000-KSZ000-010415-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1653
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0939 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2014

AREAS AFFECTED...MUCH OF KS...NWRN MO

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 480...483...

VALID 010239Z - 010415Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
480...483...CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...THE DAMAGING WIND AND HAIL THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS VALID
PORTIONS OF WW 480 AND 483 FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT 2-3 HRS.

DISCUSSION...AT 0230Z...A WSW-ENE ORIENTED QLCS IS ONGOING ACROSS
MUCH OF CNTRL/NERN KS. A BOW ECHO RECENTLY MOVED THROUGH STJ WITH AN
OBSERVED GUST OF 49KT. OTHER BOWING SEGMENTS ARE EVOLVING WEST OF
TOP AND MCI. A DAMAGING WIND THREAT WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 2-3
HRS WITH THIS ACTIVITY BEFORE NOCTURNAL STABILIZATION BEGINS TO
MITIGATE THE THREAT LATE TONIGHT.

FARTHER WEST...CONVECTION IS LARGELY POST-FRONTAL...BUT STEEP LAPSE
RATES /AS SAMPLED ON THE 00Z DDC SOUNDING/ AND SUFFICIENT EFFECTIVE
SHEAR ARE SUPPORTING ORGANIZED STORMS WITH A THREAT OF HAIL AND
LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND. ELEVATED CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE NORTH OF
THE FRONT INTO THE OVERNIGHT AS A STRONG LLJ DEVELOPS. A HAIL THREAT
WILL CONTINUE FOR SEVERAL HOURS WITH THIS ACTIVITY...BUT THE
DAMAGING WIND THREAT SHOULD DIMINISH WITH TIME AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER
BECOMES INCREASINGLY STABLE.

..DEAN.. 09/01/2014

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...EAX...TOP...ICT...DDC...

LAT...LON   37430026 37830071 38440047 38730000 38929836 38989721
            39469610 39789548 39939466 40059378 39979289 39249300
            38879327 38389421 38089574 37729774 37430026



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