Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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000
ACUS11 KWNS 030908
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 030908
GAZ000-ALZ000-031115-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0086
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0308 AM CST WED FEB 03 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...WRN AND NRN GA

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 030908Z - 031115Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT

SUMMARY...BROKEN SQLN IN ENVIRONMENT OF VERY STRONG LOW-LVL SHEAR
OVER NE AL EXPECTED TO CONTINUE EWD INTO PARTS OF WRN AND NRN GA
THROUGH LATER THIS MRNG...POSSIBLY NECESSITATING A WW IN THE NEXT
HOUR.

DISCUSSION...LONG-LIVED...SSW-NNE-ORIENTED SQLN IN NE AL SHOULD
CONTINUE MOVING ENE AT ABUT 35 KTS...WHILE EMBEDDED STORMS MOVE NNE
ALONG THE LINE AT A SOMEWHAT GREATER SPEED. DEEP WIND FIELD
DOWNSTREAM FROM THE LINE WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN THROUGH MIDDAY AS
PRIMARY SHORTWAVE TROUGH RESPONSIBLE FOR THE SQLN ADVANCES FARTHER N
ACROSS THE UPR GRT LKS. NEVERTHELESS...GIVEN CURRENT STRENGTH OF LOW
TO MID-LVL WIND FIELD OVER GA...WITH 60+ KT 850-500 MB FLOW PER
ATLANTA VWP...WINDS LIKELY WILL REMAIN AMPLY STRONG TO SUPPORT
OCCASIONAL SUSTAINED/ROTATING STORMS DESPITE GRADUAL WEAKENING.
COUPLED WITH SIZABLE LOW-LVL VEERING COMPONENT TO THE FLOW /PERHAPS
AUGMENTED ALONG REMNANT WEDGE-TYPE BOUNDARY ALONG THE SRN FOOTHILLS
OF THE APPALACHIANS/...AND SFC DEWPOINTS IN THE LOW TO MID 60S
F...SETUP COULD POSE A RISK FOR SPORADIC LOCALLY DMGG WIND AND/OR A
TORNADO. PRESENCE OF EMBEDDED LEWP STRUCTURES IN ERN AL ATTM FURTHER
SUGGESTS POTENTIAL FOR CONTINUED STORM ORGANIZATION AND A RISK FOR
OCCASIONAL SVR WX...POSSIBLY REQUIRING WW ISSUANCE IN THE NEXT HOUR.

..CORFIDI/DIAL.. 02/03/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CAE...GSP...FFC...BMX...

LAT...LON   33858258 33188365 32818462 32898508 33498545 34218551
            34798503 34838349 33858258



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