Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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000
ACUS11 KWNS 021753
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 021752
GAZ000-FLZ000-021945-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1280
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1252 PM CDT THU JUL 02 2015

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN GA...N FL

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 021752Z - 021945Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT

SUMMARY...LOCALIZED DAMAGING WINDS SHOULD CONTINUE TO ACCOMPANY TSTM
CLUSTERS MAINLY SHIFTING E THIS AFTERNOON.

DISCUSSION...PULSE-TYPE CONVECTION APPEARS TO HAVE GROWN UPSCALE
INTO VERY LOOSELY-ORGANIZED CLUSTERS PROPAGATING EWD AT ABOUT 20-30
KT ALONG THE AL/GA BORDER INTO THE ERN FL PANHANDLE. WHILE DEEP
SHEAR BECOMES QUITE WEAK WITH SRN EXTENT /LESS THAN 10 KT IN N
FL/...THE AMALGAMATION OF CLUSTERS AND DEEPENING COLD POOL COULD
SUPPORT EMBEDDED/SPORADIC SWATHS OF STRONG SURFACE WINDS. WITH
ROBUST DOWNSTREAM DIABATIC HEATING...THERE IS AT LEAST A LOW
PROBABILITY THAT THE DAMAGING WIND RISK COULD BECOME MORE THAN
LOCALIZED ACROSS PARTS OF SRN GA.

..GRAMS/HART.. 07/02/2015

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CHS...JAX...FFC...TAE...

LAT...LON   32268464 32518382 32488319 32358262 32178224 31978185
            31758165 31408158 30988162 30658188 30338259 30228353
            30228391 30288411 30668460 30978483 31338502 32268464



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