Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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000
ACUS11 KWNS 270112
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 270112
KSZ000-NEZ000-270215-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1597
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0812 PM CDT FRI AUG 26 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...NORTHWEST KS AND FAR SOUTHERN NEB

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 270112Z - 270215Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT

SUMMARY...A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MAY CONTINUE FOR
ANOTHER COUPLE OF HOURS. OVERALL THREAT SHOULD DIMINISH WITH TIME
INTO THE NIGHTTIME HOURS. A WATCH IS NOT EXPECTED.

DISCUSSION...STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE FOR A FEW
MORE HOURS THIS EVENING ALONG THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF STRONGER
INSTABILITY. A WEAK UPPER SHORTWAVE EJECTING FROM EASTERN CO WAS
CONTRIBUTING TO EFFECTIVE SHEAR AROUND 30-40 KT...WHICH WILL
MAINTAIN STORM ORGANIZATION AS THEY TRACK E/SE INTO EASTERLY SURFACE
FLOW AND HIGHER DEWPOINT AIRMASS. MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES ARE
LACKLUSTER...AND CURRENT MODEST INSTABILITY WILL CONTINUE TO
DIMINISH WITH LOSS OF HEATING...LIMITING THE LARGE HAIL THREAT WITH
TIME. ADDITIONALLY...SPORADIC STRONG WIND GUSTS WILL CONTINUE TO BE
A POSSIBILITY THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS...BUT THIS THREAT ALSO WILL
DIMINISH WITH TIME AS BOUNDARY LAYER STABILIZATION CONTINUES INTO
THE NIGHTTIME HOURS.

..LEITMAN/THOMPSON.. 08/27/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...ICT...GID...LBF...DDC...GLD...

LAT...LON   39710170 40090126 40300081 40350025 40389940 40329907
            40009850 39699845 39239863 38769931 38400048 38380121
            38500155 38730177 39070190 39710170



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