Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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000
ACUS11 KWNS 262023
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 262023
KSZ000-COZ000-262230-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0745
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0323 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF CNTRL AND ERN COLORADO

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 213...

VALID 262023Z - 262230Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 213 CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...STRONG TO SEVERE STORM DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE
ACROSS PARTS OF EAST CENTRAL COLORADO DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

DISCUSSION...VIGOROUS THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT...SOME WITH SEVERE
HAIL...IS WELL UNDERWAY.  TO THIS POINT...ACTIVITY HAS GENERALLY
BEEN CONFINED TO FORCING FOR ASCENT CLOSE TO THE FRONT RANGE.
HOWEVER...NEW STORMS NOW APPEAR TO BE FORMING A BIT FARTHER TO THE
EAST...BETWEEN LIMON AND LA JUNTA...WHERE THE BOUNDARY LAYER HAS
BECOME CHARACTERIZED BY MODERATELY LARGE CAPE IN EXCESS OF 2000
J/KG.  THIS IS GENERALLY ALONG/JUST NORTH OF A FRONTAL ZONE
EXTENDING EAST NORTHEASTWARD INTO NORTHWESTERN KANSAS...WHICH MAY
BECOME THE FOCUS FOR STORM CONSOLIDATION AND PROPAGATION INTO THE
23-01Z TIME FRAME.  VERTICAL SHEAR ALONG THIS BOUNDARY IS STRONG AND
SUPPORTIVE OF SUPERCELLS...PERHAPS AN ORGANIZING STORM CLUSTER WITH
INCREASING POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS BY LATE AFTERNOON.
UNTIL THEN...SEVERE HAIL MAY REMAIN THE PRIMARY SEVERE THREAT IN
STRONGER STORMS...BUT AN ISOLATED TORNADO OR TWO MAY NOT BE OUT OF
THE QUESTION...PARTICULARLY NEAR THE FRONT.

..KERR.. 05/26/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...DDC...GLD...PUB...BOU...

LAT...LON   40060436 39660385 39790282 39870130 39230042 38380141
            37950237 37810341 37670421 38100485 39190501 40130489
            40060436




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