Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
Issued by NWS

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000
ACUS11 KWNS 292035
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 292034
TXZ000-OKZ000-292200-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0500
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0334 PM CDT FRI APR 29 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...N-CNTRL/CNTRL TX

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 124...

VALID 292034Z - 292200Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 124 CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...SEVERE TSTMS CAPABLE OF ALL SEVERE HAZARDS ARE EXPECTED TO
PERSIST ACROSS THE WATCH AREA FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.

DISCUSSION...REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW NUMEROUS
SEVERE TSTMS ACROSS THE REGION AMIDST THE VERY MOIST AIRMASS IN
PLACE. THE STRONGEST SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN N OF THE AREA BUT
STRONG INSTABILITY /MLCAPE AROUND 3000 J PER KG/ AND SUFFICIENT
SHEAR WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT STRONG UPDRAFTS CAPABLE OF LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WIND GUSTS...AND POSSIBLE TORNADOES. STORMS WITH THE
BEST SUPERCELL CHARACTERISTICS ARE IN JACK AND WISE COUNTIES...AT
THE EDGE OF THE STRONGER SHEAR. RADAR IMAGERY SEEMS TO INDICATE MUCH
OF THE OTHER ACTIVITY ALONG AND JUST AHEAD OF THE DRYLINE IS
SLIGHTLY ELEVATED. HOWEVER...AS LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE INCREASES AND
UPDRAFTS STRENGTHEN...A TRANSITION TO MORE SURFACE-BASED APPEARS
LIKELY.

MOST OF THE ACTIVITY E OF I-35 WAS INITIATED WITHIN THE VERY MOIST
WAA REGIME. WIND PROFILE HERE IS EVEN WEAKER THAN AREAS FARTHER W
WITH A PRIMARY OF THREAT OF SVR HAIL.

..MOSIER.. 04/29/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...HGX...FWD...OUN...EWX...SJT...

LAT...LON   30999870 33709815 33709556 31009615 30999870



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