Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
Issued by NWS

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321
ACUS11 KWNS 012249
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 012248
OHZ000-KYZ000-INZ000-TNZ000-MSZ000-020015-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0525
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0548 PM CDT SUN MAY 01 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF WESTERN/MIDDLE TN...WESTERN/CENTRAL
KY...AND FAR SOUTHERN IND

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 133...

VALID 012248Z - 020015Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 133
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...THE SEVERE THREAT SHOULD GRADUALLY DIMINISH OVER THE NEXT
FEW HOURS. HOWEVER...A FEW STRONG WIND GUSTS WILL REMAIN
POSSIBLE...PRIMARILY ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN AND NORTHEASTERN PORTIONS
OF WATCH 133.

DISCUSSION...CONVECTIVE COVERAGE/INTENSITY HAS GENERALLY TRENDED
DOWNWARD OVER THE LAST COUPLE OF HOURS...AS FORCING FOR ASCENT
/ASSOCIATED WITH A SUBTLE IMPULSE OVER THE OH VALLEY/ DEPARTS THE
REGION TO THE NORTHEAST. PRIOR TO NOCTURNAL COOLING OF THE BOUNDARY
LAYER...A FEW DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND/OR AN ISOLATED LARGE HAIL
REPORT WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE...AS AMPLE SHEAR UPWARDS OF 40-50 KTS
PROMOTES ORGANIZATION/ROTATION IN THE MOST ROBUST UPDRAFTS. SUCH A
THREAT SHOULD BE FOCUSED ACROSS FAR NORTHEASTERN AND SOUTHEASTERN
PORTIONS OF THE WATCH. FARTHER WEST...WHILE CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT
ALONG AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY REMAINS POSSIBLE...A LACK OF GREATER
FORCING FOR ASCENT ALOFT SHOULD KEEP STRONGER CONVECTION /IF ANY
DEVELOPS/ QUITE LIMITED IN COVERAGE.

..PICCA.. 05/01/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...RLX...JKL...ILN...LMK...OHX...IND...PAH...MEG...

LAT...LON   35178960 36908837 38208766 38718629 39088466 38988310
            38738297 37068490 35678641 35028764 34978935 35178960




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