Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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000
ACUS11 KWNS 092215
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 092215
KSZ000-NEZ000-COZ000-092315-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1331
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0515 PM CDT WED JUL 09 2014

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL AND SRN NEB...NRN AND NWRN KS

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 092215Z - 092315Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...60 PERCENT

SUMMARY...STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP SSEWD ACROSS MUCH OF CNTRL
NEB AND INTO NRN KS LATER THIS EVENING. OTHER STORMS DEVELOPING OVER
WY/CO MIGHT EVENTUALLY MERGE WITH THIS ACTIVITY AS WELL.

DISCUSSION...A FEW SEVERE HAIL STORMS ARE ONGOING ACROSS NRN/CNTRL
NEB ALONG AN OUTFLOW-REINFORCED BOUNDARY. TO THE S AND W OF THE
ONGOING ACTIVITY...SATELLITE SHOWS A CU FIELD WITH STRONG HEATING.
ADDITIONAL STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO EVENTUALLY FORM TO THE W AND
S...AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR VECTOR ORIENTATION WOULD INDICATE A SSEWD
MOTION. STEEP LAPSE RATES AND VEERING WIND PROFILES WITH HEIGHT
SHOULD CONTINUE TO FAVOR A FEW MARGINAL SUPERCELLS WITH A HAIL
THREAT...AND DAMAGING WIND POTENTIAL IF ACTIVITY CAN FORWARD
PROPAGATE INTO THE LOW-LEVEL JET THIS EVENING.

OTHER ACTIVITY TO THE W ALONG THE FRONT RANGE WILL EVENTUALLY
ENCOUNTER MORE MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY...AND MAY POSE A WIND/HAIL
THREAT AS WELL..MERGING OVER WRN KS TONIGHT.

..JEWELL/CORFIDI.. 07/09/2014

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT...GID...LBF...DDC...GLD...BOU...CYS...

LAT...LON   38689922 38710082 38840231 39440325 40060332 40970339
            41360294 41430216 41510099 41180022 40819926 40479877
            39839765 39269749 38829793 38689922



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