Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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568
ACUS11 KWNS 021944
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 021943
MSZ000-022145-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0076
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0143 PM CST TUE FEB 02 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF ERN MS

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 10...9...

VALID 021943Z - 022145Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 10...9...CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...TORNADIC POTENTIAL APPEARS LIKELY TO INCREASE ACROSS PARTS
OF EASTERN MISSISSIPPI THROUGH 21-22Z.

DISCUSSION...SEVERAL DISCRETE SUPERCELLS ARE DEVELOPING WITHIN AN
APPARENT LOW-LEVEL CONFLUENCE AXIS EAST OF THE I-55 CORRIDOR.  THE
LATEST RAPID REFRESH SUGGESTS SOUTHERLY 850 MB FLOW IS IN THE
PROCESS OF STRENGTHENING IN EXCESS OF 50 KT ALONG AN AXIS JUST EAST
OF THIS ACTIVITY...WHICH WILL SPREAD TOWARD THE ALABAMA/MISSISSIPPI
BORDER AREA THROUGH 21-22Z.  COINCIDING WITH ENLARGEMENT OF
CLOCKWISE CURVED LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPHS...THE BOUNDARY LAYER CONTINUES
TO DESTABILIZE WITH INSOLATION AND INCREASING LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE
ACROSS MUCH OF EASTERN MISSISSIPPI.  THIS ENVIRONMENT IS BECOMING
INCREASINGLY CONDUCIVE TO TORNADIC DEVELOPMENT...PARTICULARLY
NEAR/WEST THROUGH NORTH OF MERIDIAN...TOWARD STARKVILLE.  THIS
INCLUDES THE RISK FOR A STRONG TORNADO.

..KERR.. 02/02/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MEG...JAN...

LAT...LON   32788973 33688921 34108852 33668833 32108886 31548936
            31389001 32788973




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