000
ACUS11 KWNS 240101
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 240101
LAZ000-TXZ000-240230-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1451
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0801 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2014

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL TX THROUGH NWRN LA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 434...436...

VALID 240101Z - 240230Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
434...436...CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...THREAT FOR ISOLATED STRONG TO AT LEAST MARGINALLY SEVERE
WIND GUSTS WILL PERSIST THROUGH 02Z. HOWEVER...OVERALL TREND HAS
BEEN FOR STORMS TO WEAKEN...AND THIS TREND WILL LIKELY CONTINUE.

DISCUSSION...STRONGEST REMAINING STORMS ASSOCIATED WITH AN MCS
PERSISTS FROM NEAR TERRELL TX TO JUST SW OF SHREVEPORT LA. STORMS
ARE MOVING SWD AT 35-40 KT AND HAVE UNDERGONE CONSIDERABLE WEAKENING
DURING THE PAST HOUR. THE 00Z RAOB DATA INDICATED A CAPPING LAYER
BETWEEN 800 AND 700 MB THAT IS LESS PRONOUNCED WITH EWD EXTENT
TOWARD LA. DESPITE STRONG CONVERGENCE ALONG THE GUST FRONT RESULTING
FROM A 40 KT REAR INFLOW JET CENTERED AROUND 1 KM...INCREASING
CONVECTIVE INHIBITION ASSOCIATED WITH THE STABILIZING BOUNDARY LAYER
AND THE INVERSION ALOFT SHOULD SUPPORT FURTHER WEAKENING THIS
EVENING. IN THE MEANTIME...STRONG TO MARGINALLY SEVERE WIND GUSTS
REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH AROUND 02Z.

..DIAL.. 07/24/2014

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...SHV...HGX...FWD...

LAT...LON   32269598 32119503 32099444 32199386 32009360 31689393
            31589534 31889609 32269598