Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
Issued by NWS

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000
ACUS11 KWNS 242352
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 242351
KSZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-250145-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1610
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0651 PM CDT SUN AUG 24 2014

AREAS AFFECTED...NE/CNTRL/S-CNTRL KS...WRN OK...FAR SE TX PANHANDLE

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 242351Z - 250145Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...5 PERCENT

SUMMARY...A FEW STRONG/MARGINALLY SVR STORMS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH
THE REMAINDER OF THE EVENING FROM NE KS SEWD INTO THE FAR SE TX
PANHANDLE. LIMITED SVR THREAT WILL PRECLUDE THE NEED FOR A WW.

DISCUSSION...RECENT SURFACE ANALYSIS PLACES A COLD FRONT FROM NE KS
SWWD INTO S-CNTRL KS AND THEN WWD ACROSS THE OK PANHANDLE.
ADDITIONALLY...A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM S-CNTRL KS SWWD INTO
THE FAR SE TX PANHANDLE. CONVECTION THROUGHOUT MUCH OF THIS AREA
CONTINUES TO STRUGGLE AS WARM TEMPS ALOFT LIMIT INSTABILITY AND WEAK
BULK SHEAR PREVENTS MUCH UPDRAFT ORGANIZATION. FURTHERMORE...STORM
MOTION IS TAKING STORMS N OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. THESE FACTORS
WILL CONTINUE LIMITING STORM ORGANIZATION AND PERSISTENCE THROUGHOUT
THE EVENING. A FEW STORMS MAY STAY IN THE WARM...MOIST AIR AHEAD OF
THE FRONT LONG ENOUGH TO REACH SVR STRENGTH. ISOLATED NATURE OF THE
SVR THREAT WILL PRECLUDE WW ISSUANCE.

..MOSIER/THOMPSON.. 08/24/2014

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...EAX...TOP...ICT...OUN...DDC...LUB...AMA...

LAT...LON   37239699 35049873 33820045 34080091 36369990 39689692
            39579544 37239699



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