Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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000
ACUS11 KWNS 140140
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 140139
MIZ000-OHZ000-INZ000-140245-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1884
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0839 PM CDT MON OCT 13 2014

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN INDIANA INTO
CENTRAL KENTUCKY

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 541...

VALID 140139Z - 140245Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 541 CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN THROUGH THE EVENING.
WHILE SOME GUSTY WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE...THE OVERALL SEVERE THREAT
APPEARS TO BE LIMITED. A NEW WATCH DOWNSTREAM OF WW 541 IS NOT
EXPECTED.

DISCUSSION...A GRADUAL WEAKENING TREND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AS
THE LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS TRACKS E/NE ACROSS INDIANA AND KENTUCKY.
00Z RAOB FROM ILN SHOWED MINIMAL INSTABILITY AND POOR LAPSE RATES ON
THE EASTERN PERIPHERY OF STRONGER DEEP LAYER SHEAR. SFC DEWPOINTS
ALSO DECREASE WITH EASTWARD EXTENT FROM THE UPPER 50S TO LOW 60S F.
ADDITIONALLY...SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AT BMG INDICATED WIND GUSTS ONLY
TO 33 KT. WHILE SOME GUSTY WINDS MAY CONTINUE TO ACCOMPANY
CONVECTION THE NEXT FEW HOURS...SEVERE THREAT APPEARS TO BE WANING
AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER CONTINUES TO STABILIZE. GIVEN RECENT WEAKENING
TRENDS AND THE POORER DOWNSTREAM ENVIRONMENT...A NEW WATCH IS NOT
EXPECTED.

..LEITMAN.. 10/14/2014

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...IWX...GRR...IND...LOT...

LAT...LON   42598648 42878603 42838539 42698473 42288461 41758465
            41028473 40658487 40438538 40538638 40578703 41248704
            41738694 42598648




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