Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
Issued by NWS

Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
ACUS11 KWNS 250419
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 250419
KSZ000-OKZ000-250515-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0754
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1119 PM CDT SUN MAY 24 2015

AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTHWEST KS

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 206...

VALID 250419Z - 250515Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 206 CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...A TORNADO THREAT /POTENTIALLY STRONG/ MAY CONTINUE THROUGH
AT LEAST 05Z/MIDNIGHT CDT ACROSS SOUTHWEST KS INCLUDING AREAS
NEAR/WEST OF DODGE CITY. SEVERE HAIL/WIND WILL OTHERWISE REMAIN
POSSIBLE.

DISCUSSION...AHEAD OF AN EASTWARD-MOVING CONVECTIVE LINE...A
PERSISTENT DISCRETE SUPERCELL WITH HISTORY OF PRODUCING TORNADOES
CONTINUES TO SLOWLY MOVE NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS FAR SOUTHERN GRAY
COUNTY AS OF 1115 PM CDT/0415Z. WHILE OVERALL SUPERCELL INTENSITY
MAY BE POST-PEAK AND ENVIRONMENTAL CINH HAS INCREASED OVER THE PAST
1-2 HOURS...SUPERCELL INTERNAL DYNAMICAL PROCESSES AND RELATIVELY
STRONG LOW-LEVEL SHEAR PER DODGE CITY WSR-88D VWP DATA COULD
MAINTAIN A SUPERCELL TORNADO THREAT TOWARD THE DODGE CITY AREA
THROUGH AT LEAST THE 05Z/MIDNIGHT CDT TIME FRAME...IF NOT BEYOND.
OTHERWISE...SOME SEVERE WIND/HAIL MAY REMAIN A CONCERN WITH THE
EASTWARD-MOVING CONVECTIVE LINE...WITH IT LIKELY TO EVENTUALLY
OVERTAKE THE AFOREMENTIONED SUPERCELL.

..GUYER.. 05/25/2015

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...DDC...AMA...

LAT...LON   37920083 38120025 38239984 38039946 37159963 36960098
            37920083




USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.