000
ACUS11 KWNS 290127
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 290126
MDZ000-VAZ000-NCZ000-SCZ000-290230-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1742
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0826 PM CDT WED SEP 28 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...NC...VA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 488...

VALID 290126Z - 290230Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 488
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...NEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS NOT ANTICIPATED.
ISOLATED SEVERE WILL LINGER FOR THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS...MAINLY LARGE
HAIL.

DISCUSSION...LARGE-SCALE MID-LEVEL HEIGHT FALLS WILL SPREAD/DEVELOP
INTO THE SRN APPALACHIANS TONIGHT AS UPPER LOW SETTLES INTO NRN KY
LATE.  THIS EVOLUTION SHOULD PROVE FAVORABLE FOR ADDITIONAL
CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT ACROSS THE CAROLINAS INTO VA AS WEAK FRONTAL
FORCING SHOULD REMAIN FOCUSED IN THE LEE OF THE HIGHER TERRAIN.
WHILE ISOLATED LARGE HAIL MAY BE NOTED IN THE STRONGEST CELLS...THE
AIR MASS HAS STABILIZED SIGNIFICANTLY OVER THIS REGION AND NEW
DEVELOPMENT WILL ONLY PROVE DETRIMENTAL FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.

..DARROW.. 09/29/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...PHI...AKQ...LWX...RAH...RNK...CAE...GSP...

LAT...LON   36518162 38817617 36797615 34498163 36518162