637
ACUS11 KWNS 282303
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 282302
MDZ000-VAZ000-NCZ000-SCZ000-290030-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1741
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0602 PM CDT WED SEP 28 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...NC...VA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 488...

VALID 282302Z - 290030Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 488
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL FOCUS ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN
HALF OF WW488.  LARGE HAIL REMAINS THE PRIMARY SEVERE RISK.

DISCUSSION...SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOW FOCUSED ACROSS
THE SERN HALF OF WW488.  THE STRONGEST INSTABILITY FAVORABLY
CORRELATES WITH THIS CONVECTION ALONG A CORRIDOR FROM CLT...NEWD TO
RIC.  LATEST MRMS HAIL ALGORITHM SUGGESTS NUMEROUS NEAR-SEVERE TO
SEVERE HAIL CORES ALONG THE AFOREMENTIONED CORRIDOR.  GIVEN THE
AREAL COVERAGE OF CONVECTION IT APPEARS INSTABILITY SHOULD BE
OVERTURNED WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS...ESPECIALLY WITH ONSET OF
DIURNAL COOLING.

..DARROW.. 09/28/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...PHI...AKQ...LWX...RAH...RNK...CAE...GSP...

LAT...LON   36528162 38817617 36797617 34498162 36528162