Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
Issued by NWS
ACUS11 KWNS 230033
SPC MCD 230032
Mesoscale Discussion 0124
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0632 PM CST Sun Jan 22 2017
Areas affected...Central Florida
Concerning...Tornado Watch 23...
Valid 230032Z - 230200Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 23 continues.
SUMMARY...Severe/tornado risk is ongoing across central Florida.
DISCUSSION...Current radar loop shows a broken band of
severe/embedded supercell storms extending from near St. Johns
County southwest to Pinellas County, roughly along the surface
front/wind shift. Meanwhile, isolated supercells continue shifting
northeastward across central Florida ahead of this main band.
The overall environment ahead of the front/wind shift remains highly
favorable for supercells (including potential for strong tornadoes,
damaging winds, and large hail) per the evening TBW RAOB which
reveals 1800 J/kg mixed-layer CAPE, 53 kt 0-1 km shear, and 0-6 km
shear 74 kt. Expect risk to remain roughly steady-state over the
next couple of hours across central Florida -- and later into
southern parts of the state -- as the front/wind shift advances
east/east-southeast across the Peninsula.
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
LAT...LON 29488177 29618082 27928029 27068115 26868271 27878322