000
ACUS11 KWNS 102305
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 102304
SDZ000-NEZ000-COZ000-110100-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1341
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0604 PM CDT THU JUL 10 2014

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN SD INTO CNTRL NEB AND FAR NERN CO

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 102304Z - 110100Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT

SUMMARY...STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE LATER THIS EVENING ACROSS
S CNTRL SD INTO CNTRL NEB WITH A WIND AND HAIL THREAT.

DISCUSSION...CLUSTERS OF STORMS CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY SHIFT EWD
ACROSS WRN NEB WITHIN A WEAK LEE TROUGH. SATELLITE SHOWS TOWERING CU
EXTENDING NEWD FROM THIS ACTIVITY INTO SRN SD AS WELL.

STRONG HEATING IN THIS ZONE HAS ERODED CIN AND IS ALSO IN A ZONE OF
LOW-LEVEL SPEED CONVERGENCE. STORMS ARE THUS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO
FORM AND EVOLVE INTO THIS AREA...WHERE VEERING WINDS WITH HEIGHT AND
AMPLE INSTABILITY WILL FAVOR A FEW SUPERCELLS WITH LARGE HAIL.
ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS MAY ALSO OCCUR.

IF IT BECOMES APPARENT THAT SEVERE COVERAGE WILL BE MORE THAN
ISOLATED...A WATCH MAY BE NEEDED.

..JEWELL/CORFIDI.. 07/10/2014

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FSD...ABR...LBF...UNR...GLD...BOU...CYS...

LAT...LON   42669933 42049984 41150078 40390272 40600309 40910303
            41330277 41640265 42380222 43070172 43830106 44190037
            44219955 43759911 42669933